TRON [TRX] has been gaining increasing attention in September as strong network fundamentals align with favorable trading activity. With SunSwap transactions hitting a yearly peak and exchange outflows confirming investor accumulation, TRX bullish momentum appears to be building.
At press time, TRX was trading around $0.33, holding above its ascending trendline support. This stability, despite market volatility, has kept the altcoin in a favorable position heading into October.
The question many traders are asking now is whether TRX can break the critical $0.37 resistance level and push toward the $0.40 mark.
SunSwap Transactions Hit Record Levels
One of the most significant drivers of TRON’s recent strength has been its expanding role in stablecoin settlement and remittances. SunSwap, the decentralized exchange built on TRON, processed more than 30,000 transactions in September.
This milestone represents the highest monthly total so far in 2025, confirming strong demand for TRON’s network utility. Transaction counts consistently remained above 15,000, underscoring that the network’s usage is not merely speculative but supported by real-world demand.
Such network activity positions TRON as more than just a secondary blockchain. Instead, it is evolving into a critical infrastructure layer for settlement services, giving investors long-term confidence in its fundamentals.
TRX Holds Firm Above Ascending Trendline
On the technical front, TRX price action has been supported by a rising trendline that has acted as a strong pivot during market pullbacks. At $0.33, the asset is holding above this key level, keeping the bullish structure intact.
Resistance levels currently stand at $0.3526 and $0.3700. Clearing these barriers would be necessary for TRX to begin a new rally toward $0.40.
However, not all signals are perfectly aligned. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) recently flashed a bearish signal, suggesting a possible short-term retest of support before another push upward. Despite this, the broader setup remains favorable as long as TRX maintains its trendline.
Exchange Outflows Signal Investor Confidence
Another critical factor reinforcing the TRX bullish case has been exchange outflows. In September, TRX Spot Netflows consistently recorded outflows, including $4.79 million on September 29 alone.
When coins move out of exchanges, it often reflects reduced selling pressure and a shift toward accumulation. Investors typically withdraw assets to hold them in private wallets, signaling long-term conviction rather than short-term trading.
This consistent trend of outflows suggests that traders and holders alike are optimistic about TRX’s upside potential. Even during price pullbacks, the reduced exchange balances have shown that the market is not panicking but rather building positions.
Futures Market Aligns with Bullish Sentiment
The derivatives market has also added weight to the TRX bullish outlook. Futures Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) highlighted strong taker buy dominance, a signal that leveraged traders are positioning for higher spot prices.
This type of positioning typically reflects confidence in near-term rallies, especially when combined with strong spot market fundamentals such as SunSwap growth and exchange outflows.
In other words, both retail and institutional players in the futures market appear to be aligning with the expectation that TRX could break through its resistance levels soon.
Can TRX Break Above $0.37?
The $0.37 resistance has now emerged as the immediate test for TRX. Market structure suggests that a confirmed breakout above this level could open the path to $0.40, a psychologically important milestone for traders.
With network activity surging, investor accumulation visible on-chain, and leveraged traders adding long exposure, TRON has a strong cluster of bullish indicators working in its favor.
However, the outcome still depends on TRX maintaining its trendline support. If the asset slips below $0.33 and loses $0.31, bearish momentum could return and invalidate the bullish setup.
Long-Term Outlook for TRON
Beyond the immediate price levels, TRON continues to gain relevance in the broader crypto landscape. Its growing role in stablecoin settlement and remittances is positioning it as an important player in global payment infrastructure.
Industry leaders, including TRON founder Justin Sun, have long emphasized the project’s mission to integrate blockchain into financial systems. With decentralized exchanges like SunSwap thriving, TRON’s adoption story is becoming increasingly credible.
If TRX can sustain its bullish momentum and overcome resistance barriers, it could strengthen its position among the top-performing altcoins of late 2025.
Conclusion
TRX bullish momentum has been reinforced by strong fundamentals, on-chain accumulation, and positive derivatives sentiment. SunSwap’s record transaction activity highlights TRON’s growing network utility, while exchange outflows and futures positioning point toward investor confidence.
As long as TRX holds above its ascending trendline, the path toward $0.37 and $0.40 remains open. A confirmed breakout would validate a new rally and potentially set the stage for further gains heading into the final quarter of the year.
For now, TRON stands at a critical juncture: sustaining support levels could pave the way for one of its strongest rallies of 2025.
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