A trader looks over his cell phone outside the New York Stock Exchange in the financial district of Manhattan in New York. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer, File)
NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street is slipping this morning, adding to losses from the end of last week on worries about higher interest rates and inflation.
The S&P 500 was 0.6 percent lower in early trading and on track for a second straight fall after a stunningly strong report on the U.S. jobs market dented the market’s hopes for easing interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 170 points, or 0.5 percent, at 33,755, as of 9:48 a.m. Eastern time, while the Nasdaq composite was 0.6 percent lower.
Some of the sharpest action was again in the bond market, where expectations are rising for the Federal Reserve to stay firm on keeping interest rates higher for longer to combat inflation. It’s something the Fed has been talking about for a long time, but also something the market has been stubborn about not believing fully.
The yield on the two-year Treasury, which tends to track expectations for the Fed, leaped again. It zoomed to 4.41 percent from 4.29 percent late Friday and just 4.10 percent before the release of the jobs report. That’s a significant move for the bond market. The 10-year yield, which helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans, jumped to 3.62 percent from 3.52 percent late Friday.
Higher rates slow the economy by design, in hopes of suppressing the demand for purchases that can fuel inflation. But they also raise the risk of a severe recession and hurt markets in the meantime.
Friday’s jolting jobs report showed that U.S. employers added a third of a million more jobs than expected last month despite higher rates. Normally, such strength would be good news for markets. At the least, it should mean higher sales for many companies.
But it also raised worries a too-strong labor market will keep inflationary pressures alive and force the Fed to keep rates higher for longer. That’s in direct opposition to hopes in the market that cooling inflation could get the Fed to pause its rate increases soon and then cut rates late this year.
Such hopes had driven a big rally on Wall Street to start the year, and the S&P 500 still remains up more than 7 percent for 2023 so far. The stocks leading the way had been the ones most beaten down last year by the rattlingly swift rise in rates engineered by the Fed to combat inflation. Those include tech stocks and others seen as the riskiest or most expensive.
Investors came into the year extremely skeptical about such stocks, and once they got a spark higher, momentum for them quickly snowballed. Analysts have said the rebound was more about improvements in sentiment than any changes in the economy or other fundamentals.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell may give some more clues about where rates are heading on Tuesday, when he’s scheduled to speak at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C.
Besides Powell, markets are also waiting to hear from nearly 100 companies in the S&P 500 this week about how much profit they made during the final three months of 2022.
The earnings reporting season is at its halfway point, with roughly half the companies in the S&P 500 companies having reported, and they’re on track for a roughly 5 percent drop from year-earlier levels, according to FactSet. That would be the first such drop since the summer of 2020, when the pandemic was ravaging the global economy.
Tyson Foods 5.4 percent fell after it reported weaker profit and revenue for its latest quarter than analysts expected.
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